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Bills vs. Jaguars Preview and Prediction

Our Bills vs. Jaguars preview, analysis and predictions for January 11, 2026, are based on 10,000 NFL game simulations. See Dimers Pro for unlimited access.
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NFL
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NFL
Bills
Predicted score
26
:
25
Jan 11, 6PM EverBank Stadium
Jaguars
Jan 11, 6PM EverBank Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 5:45PM, Jan 7
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Bills BUF
Jaguars + 1.5
Spread
50%
50%
Jaguars JAX
Player Props
Anytime Touchdown
First Touchdown
Bills
Probability
James Cook
56.1%
Josh Allen
50.5%
Khalil Shakir
26.0%
Dalton Kincaid
Dawson Knox
Jaguars
Probability
Travis Etienne
53.0%
Trevor Lawrence
33.8%
Parker Washington
29.2%
Jakobi Meyers
Brian Thomas
Projected Player Stats
Bills Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
J. Allen
Jaguars Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
T. Lawrence
Bills Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Cook
J. Allen
T. Johnson
Jaguars Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
T. Etienne
T. Lawrence
L. Allen
Bills Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
K. Shakir
D. Kincaid
B. Cooks
D. Knox
T. Shavers
Jaguars Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Meyers
P. Washington
B. Thomas
B. Strange
T. Etienne

Game Prediction Article

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Bills vs. Jaguars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bills favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 52
  • Moneyline Odds: Bills -110, Jaguars -105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bills: 55%
  • Jaguars: 45%

Dimers' predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Bills 26-25 Jaguars.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bills a win probability of 55%, while the Jaguars have a win probability of 45%.

Summary

The Bills face off against the Jaguars in the NFL at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, January 11, 2026. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Bills vs. Jaguars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL picks, NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.

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