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Grizzlies vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Lakers NBA game on January 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
121
128
Jan 3, 3:30AM Crypto.com Arena
Jan 3, 3:30AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 31 | 90 | -33 | 33 | 121 |
Lakers | 39 | 89 | -36 | 36 | 128 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
24%
76%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 31 | 90 | -33 | 33 | 121 |
Lakers | 39 | 89 | -36 | 36 | 128 |
Q4 00:10 Santi Aldama makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
Q4 00:28 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
Q4 00:35 LeBron James makes two point driving layup (Jake LaRavia assists)
Q4 00:39 Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Jaxson Hayes makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
Q4 1:20 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Ja Morant personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
+2
Santi Aldama makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
121-128
Luka Doncic turnover (bad pass)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
119-128
+2
LeBron James makes two point driving layup (Jake LaRavia assists)
121-128
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point jump shot
121-128
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
116-124
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
114-124
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-121
Lakers personal foul
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-128
Jump ball. Santi Aldama vs. LeBron James (Ja Morant gains possession)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
112-121
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses three point jump shot
+3
Jake LaRavia makes three point jump shot
112-119
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses two point floating jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward)
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point jump shot (Cedric Coward assists)
112-116
Lakers turnover
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Jarred Vanderbilt makes three point jump shot
112-119
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Ja Morant turnover (Marcus Smart steals)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
112-116
Jump ball. Jaxson Hayes (Luka Doncic gains possession)
Lakers offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point tip layup
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale turnover
Jock Landale shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-110
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-119
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Jock Landale misses two point tip layup
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Cedric Coward misses two point jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
121-128
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward)
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point dunk (LeBron James assists)
112-119
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart)
+2
Cam Spencer makes two point jump shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)
108-107
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
106-107
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Instant replay
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
106-105
Jaxson Hayes shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
LeBron James turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
106-105
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
112-121
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward)
+2
Ja Morant makes two point stepback jump shot
101-102
+2
LeBron James makes two point jump shot
99-102
LeBron James defensive rebound
Christian Koloko misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
GG Jackson misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
LeBron James makes two point driving floating jump shot
112-121
LeBron James defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
LeBron James personal foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-128
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson turnover (out of bounds step)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-128
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-128
+2
Ja Morant makes two point driving layup
101-102
Lakers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses heave shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
112-121
Christian Koloko offensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
Marcus Smart personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot
88-92
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
112-121
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
112-121
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-92
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-121
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Christian Koloko)
Jump ball. Jaxson Hayes vs. Jaren Jackson Jr. (Lakers gains possession)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Nick Smith Jr., Dalton Knecht, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot
88-92
Jarred Vanderbilt turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Jake LaRavia offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Jaxson Hayes, Nick Smith Jr., Dalton Knecht, LeBron James)
Jake LaRavia turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Ja Morant makes two point driving layup (Christian Koloko assists)
88-92
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Christian Koloko, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia, Nick Smith Jr., LeBron James)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
112-121
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
112-121
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-121
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-128
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
112-121
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
112-121
Deandre Ayton personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia, Nick Smith Jr.)
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-128
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-128
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
121-128
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-128
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-128
Grizzlies personal foul
Jake LaRavia personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-128
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-128
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
121-128
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-128
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jock Landale misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
74-78
Lakers personal foul
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-78
Instant replay (Request)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Nick Smith Jr.)
Santi Aldama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
71-78
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Ja Morant misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Wells shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Lakers offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-128
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+2
Ja Morant makes two point driving floating jump shot
69-74
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes technical free throw 1 of 1
121-128
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
69-74
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Marcus Smart blocks Grizzlies's two point jump shot
Christian Koloko offensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, Christian Koloko, Jaylen Wells, Cedric Coward)
Luka Doncic turnover
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
LeBron James shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
LeBron James makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)
101-102
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton blocks Cedric Coward's two point running dunk
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
121-128
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
69-72
Jake LaRavia personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
121-128
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
60-66
Lakers 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge)
Lakers defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
60-66
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
60-66
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point running layup
60-66
Lakers turnover
+2
Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
60-66
End of 1st Half.
Lakers offensive rebound
LeBron James misses heave shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Christian Koloko, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward)
LeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Cedric Coward)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-66
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-65
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
60-64
+2
LeBron James makes two point running dunk (Marcus Smart assists)
58-64
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point running jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
LeBron James makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
58-62
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Cedric Coward misses three point jump shot
+2
LeBron James makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
58-60
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward)
Santi Aldama misses two point driving finger roll layup
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Cam Spencer turnover (bad pass) (Luka Doncic steals)
+3
Jake LaRavia makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
58-58
+2
Jock Landale makes two point turnaround hook shot
58-55
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses three point jump shot
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running pullup jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
56-55
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
LeBron James misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
53-55
Luka Doncic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point running jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Jake LaRavia misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope kicked ball violation
+2
Jock Landale makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
50-55
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Nick Smith Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Cam Spencer turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Luka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Deandre Ayton steals)
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)
Luka Doncic offensive foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
48-55
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Jock Landale makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
45-55
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jaylen Wells shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Nick Smith Jr.)
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells)
Ja Morant misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Ja Morant makes two point driving layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
42-55
+2
Jake LaRavia makes two point tip layup
40-55
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
LeBron James misses three point running pullup jump shot
Ja Morant turnover (lost ball) (Jake LaRavia steals)
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Christian Koloko)
+2
Jake LaRavia makes two point driving layup (Marcus Smart assists)
40-53
Cedric Coward shooting foul (Jake LaRavia draws the foul)
Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
+3
GG Jackson makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
40-51
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Ja Morant steals)
Jump ball. Jaxson Hayes vs. Christian Koloko (Marcus Smart gains possession)
Lakers defensive rebound
Jaxson Hayes blocks Christian Koloko's two point driving dunk
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-51
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-50
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
Christian Koloko misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Marcus Smart shooting foul (Christian Koloko draws the foul)
+1
Christian Koloko makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-49
Marcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
LeBron James defensive rebound
+2
Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)
36-49
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive goaltending violation
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Christian Koloko blocks Dalton Knecht's three point jump shot
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Cedric Coward misses two point driving layup
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)
36-47
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
36-45
Jaxson Hayes shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Ja Morant turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Christian Koloko, Jaylen Wells)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Grizzlies vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Grizzlies vs. Lakers
- Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lakers favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5
- Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +178, Lakers -188
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Grizzlies: 31%
- Lakers: 69%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 117-123 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 31%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Grizzlies vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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