Philadelphia vs. Columbus Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Columbus MLS match on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
0
2
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Columbus
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
ColumbusCLB
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
M. Arfsten (4')
Soccer ball icon
M. Arfsten (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Sery Larsen (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Columbus
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    J. Sery Larsen (Philadelphia Union) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Damiani
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: A. Sejdic replaces S. Bangoura
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: M. Farsi replaces M. Arfsten
  5. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: J. Thiare replaces D. Rossi
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: D. Gazdag replaces T. Habroune
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces C. Sullivan
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces J. Rafanello
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: S. Moreira replaces H. Picard
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces P. Ndinga
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    S. Bangoura (Columbus Crew) cautioned
  12. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Columbus Crew by M. Arfsten
    0-2
  13. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Lukic replaces J. Bueno
  14. 39'
    Yellow Card
    D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  15. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Columbus Crew by M. Arfsten
    0-1

Philadelphia vs. Columbus: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Columbus
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +300, Columbus -105, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 24.2%
  • Columbus: 51.3%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Columbus (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Columbus? Prediction & correct score

Columbus is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.3%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Columbus.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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