NY City vs. Vancouver Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Vancouver MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
NY City
0
2
BC Place
Vancouver
BC Place
VancouverVAN
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
M. Laborda (44')
Soccer ball icon
B. White (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Vancouver
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: R. Elloumi replaces B. White
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces A. O'Neill
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Parks
  4. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by B. White, assisted by B. Caicedo
    0-2
  5. 80'
    Yellow Card
    O. Larraz (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: O. Larraz replaces S. Berhalter
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Jones replaces A. Ojeda
  8. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: B. Caicedo replaces C. Sabaly
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: E. Sabbi replaces A. Cubas
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces H. Wolf
  11. 53'
    Yellow Card
    A. Cubas (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
  12. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by M. Laborda, assisted by S. Berhalter
    0-1

NY City vs. Vancouver: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Vancouver
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BC Place

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +500, Vancouver -179, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 18.1%
  • Vancouver: 62.7%
  • Draw: 19.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-2 Vancouver (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win NY City vs. Vancouver? Prediction & correct score

Vancouver is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.7%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-2 Vancouver.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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