San Jose vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Philadelphia MLS match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
San Jose
1
0
Mar 7, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Mar 7, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
O. Bouda (59')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
E. Alladoh (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces G. Sequera
82'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces P. Judd
82'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces B. Leroux
75'
Yellow Card
P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Korzeniowski replaces B. Damiani
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
65'
Yellow Card
N. Harriel (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Lukic
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by O. Bouda
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces A. Anello
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Werner replaces J. Ricketts
20'
Yellow Card
J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
15'
Yellow Card
B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

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San Jose vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +250, Philadelphia +115, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 20.1%
  • Philadelphia: 58.7%
  • Draw: 21.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-2 Philadelphia (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Jose vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.7%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on San Jose vs. Philadelphia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.