San Jose vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Philadelphia MLS match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
San Jose
1
0
Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
O. Bouda (59')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Yellow Card
    E. Alladoh (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces G. Sequera
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces P. Judd
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces B. Leroux
  5. 75'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Korzeniowski replaces B. Damiani
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
  8. 65'
    Yellow Card
    N. Harriel (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Lukic
  10. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by O. Bouda
    1-0
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces A. Anello
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Werner replaces J. Ricketts
  13. 20'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  14. 15'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

San Jose vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +250, Philadelphia +115, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 20.1%
  • Philadelphia: 58.7%
  • Draw: 21.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-2 Philadelphia (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win San Jose vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.7%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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