Austin vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Austin vs. Houston MLS match on July 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Austin
0
3
Jul 25, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Jul 25, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
AustinAUS
M. Bogusz (12')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (29')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme (32')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Austin
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Sviatchenko replaces Lucas Halter
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces Guilherme
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces J. Gallagher
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: E. Torres replaces F. Torres
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: J. McGlynn replaces A. Bouzat
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces E. Ponce
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: M. Djordjevic replaces O. Svatok
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Artur replaces D. Samassekou
62'
Yellow Card
B. Sabovic (Austin FC) cautioned
62'
Yellow Card
Lucas Halter (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: B. Sabovic replaces I. Sanchez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: J. Rosales replaces P. Placheta
42'
Yellow Card
Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme, assisted by A. Bouzat
0-3
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by Guilherme
0-2
18'
Yellow Card
I. Sanchez (Austin FC) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by E. Ponce
0-1

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Austin vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +380, Houston -143, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Austin: 19.4%
  • Houston: 58.1%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Austin 0-1 Houston (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Austin vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.1%.

The most likely correct score is Austin 0-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Austin vs. Houston, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.