LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
LA Galaxy
1
3
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
Capita (32')
Soccer ball icon
D. Joveljic (45')
Soccer ball icon
C. Harris (70')
Soccer ball icon
Gabriel Pec (89')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces D. Joveljic
  2. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Gabriel Pec, assisted by J. Haak
    1-3
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reynolds replaces J. Davis
  4. 80'
    Yellow Card
    Gabriel Pec (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento replaces M. Reus
  6. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by C. Harris, assisted by M. Garcia
    0-3
  7. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Yamane replaces M. Cuevas
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Thommy replaces L. Sanabria
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Haak replaces C. Garces
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Garcia replaces T. Calheira
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
  12. 49'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cuevas (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces Capita
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Wynder replaces H. Miller
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by C. Harris
    0-2
  16. 41'
    Yellow Card
    Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  17. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by Capita, assisted by C. Harris
    0-1

LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy -110, Sporting KC +310, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 52.7%
  • Sporting KC: 25.6%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-1 Sporting KC (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

LA Galaxy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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