LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC in the World Cup on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
1
3
May 13, 8:30 PM ET
Sporting KC
May 13, 8:30 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
Capita (32')
Soccer ball icon
D. Joveljic (45')
Soccer ball icon
C. Harris (70')
Soccer ball icon
Gabriel Pec (89')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LAG
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces D. Joveljic
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Gabriel Pec, assisted by J. Haak
1-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reynolds replaces J. Davis
80'
Yellow Card
Gabriel Pec (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento replaces M. Reus
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by C. Harris, assisted by M. Garcia
0-3
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Yamane replaces M. Cuevas
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Thommy replaces L. Sanabria
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Haak replaces C. Garces
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Garcia replaces T. Calheira
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
49'
Yellow Card
M. Cuevas (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces Capita
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Wynder replaces H. Miller
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by C. Harris
0-2
41'
Yellow Card
Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by Capita, assisted by C. Harris
0-1

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $50 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Code DIMERS: Trade $10, Get $10
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy -110, Sporting KC +310, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 52.7%
  • Sporting KC: 25.6%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-1 Sporting KC (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

LA Galaxy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.