Sporting KC vs. Portland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. Portland MLS match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Sporting KC
0
6
May 9, 10:30 PM ET Providence Park
Portland
May 9, 10:30 PM ET Providence Park
PortlandPOR
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
K. Velde (6')
Soccer ball icon
K. Kelsy (15')
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C. Bassett (22')
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J. Davis (o.g.) (26')
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A. Lassiter (71')
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K. Kelsy (74')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Portland
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
76'
Yellow Card
Capita (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces Capita
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy
0-6
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces D. Joveljic
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by A. Lassiter
0-5
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Aravena replaces D. Da Costa
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces J. Fory
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces C. Bassett
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Lassiter replaces Antony
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces L. Johnsen
53'
Yellow Card
E. Bartlow (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: C. Harris replaces M. Garcia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: I. James replaces S. Suleymanov
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Chara replaces J. Caicedo
45'
Yellow Card
J. Reid (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (Portland Timbers) cautioned
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by J. Davis (o.g.)
0-4
22'
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Goal scored for Portland Timbers by C. Bassett
0-3
19'
Yellow Card
L. Johnsen (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy
0-2
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde
0-1

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Sporting KC vs. Portland: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Portland
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Providence Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +475, Portland -200, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 17.7%
  • Portland: 63.6%
  • Draw: 18.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sporting KC 1-2 Portland (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sporting KC vs. Portland? Prediction & correct score

Portland is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.6%.

The most likely correct score is Sporting KC 1-2 Portland.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sporting KC vs. Portland, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.