San Jose vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Toronto MLS match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
San Jose
1
:
1
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
D. Salloi (2')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (13')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • San Jose
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Coello (Toronto FC) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: W. Zimmerman replaces Z. Monlouis
  3. 75'
    Yellow Card
    J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Bossenberry replaces M. Cimermancic
  5. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces E. Aristizabal
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces M. Henry
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces P. Judd
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces J. Skahan
  9. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces N. Tsakiris
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Chisholm replaces L. Stefanovic
  11. 37'
    Yellow Card
    R. Vieira (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  12. 17'
    Yellow Card
    B. Leroux (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  13. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by N. Tsakiris
    1-1
  14. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Salloi, assisted by J. Osorio
    0-1

San Jose vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose -110, Toronto +300, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 45.7%
  • Toronto: 31.2%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-1 Toronto (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Jose vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.7%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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