Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Nationals MLB game on May 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Orioles
Chris Bassitt 3-2, 5.21 ERA
3
13
May 16, 4:05 PM ET Nationals Park
Nationals
Cade Cavalli 1-2, 4.02 ERA
May 16, 4:05 PM ET Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 10 0
Nationals
0 3 1 0 0 0 7 2 X 13 13 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    0%
  • Nationals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Taylor Ward flies out to center field to Daylen Lile.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Handley PH1000001.0000.000
2 T. Ward LF5021002.4000.800
3 A. Rutschman C4000001.0000.000
4 P. Alonso 1B4020000.5001.250
5 S. Basallo DH4111102.2501.250
6 T. O'Neill RF4111101.2501.250
7 L. Taveras CF4120002.5001.000
8 C. Mayo 3B3010011.3330.833
9 J. Jackson 2B4010001.2500.500
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wood RF3210010.3331.267
2 C. Mead 1B1100010.0000.500
3 B. House 3B22231001.0004.000
4 C. Abrams SS5231000.6001.600
5 D. Lile LF5111001.2000.400
6 N. Nuñez 2B3100021.0000.400
7 K. Ruiz C5235100.6002.000
8 J. Wiemer DH2100000.0000.000
9 J. Young CF4123101.5001.750

Orioles vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Orioles vs. Nationals
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 10.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Orioles +102, Nationals -102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Orioles: 49%
  • Nationals: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 49%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nationals are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.