Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Pirates MLB game on May 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 4-2, 2.11 ERA
6
0
May 16, 4:05 PM ET PNC Park
Pirates
Bubba Chandler 1-4, 4.62 ERA
May 16, 4:05 PM ET PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 8 0
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Pirates
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nick Yorke grounds out to shortstop, Trea Turner to Bryce Harper.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4221011.5001.350
2 K. Schwarber DH4111012.2500.900
3 B. Harper 1B3113112.3331.933
4 A. Bohm 3B5020000.4001.000
5 B. Marsh LF5010002.2000.400
6 A. García RF5010003.2000.400
7 B. Stott 2B4000011.0000.200
8 J. Realmuto C3100010.0000.250
9 J. Crawford CF2100020.0000.500
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF4000003.0000.000
2 K. Griffin SS4020001.5001.250
3 B. Reynolds LF4020000.5001.250
4 M. Ozuna DH4000004.0000.000
5 N. Yorke RF3000001.0000.000
6 N. Gonzales 3B3020000.6671.334
7 B. Lowe 2B3000002.0000.000
8 J. Triolo 1B3000002.0000.000
9 H. Davis C3000000.0000.000

Phillies vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Pirates
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies -153, Pirates +155

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 59%
  • Pirates: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 59%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at PNC Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.