Rays vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Phillies MLB game on Saturday, September 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rays
Griffin Jax 8-10, 3.62 ERA
7
2 Out
0
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Aaron Nola 7-11, 4.54 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
Polymarket Offer.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
3 0 0 0 4 7 7 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 X 0 2 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    97%
  • Phillies
    3%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
C. Mullins
R. Palacios
T. Walls
RHP J. Urquidy
Last At Bat
Outs
Cedric Mullins singles to center field. Richie Palacios to second. Victor Mesa scores. Junior Caminero scores.
(RHP) José Urquidy
14 Pitches
W-LIPHRERBBKERA
Season 2-2 33.2 42 21 17 7 161 4.545
Today 0.1 1 0 0 0 1
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH3220000.6671.667
2 J. Aranda 1B1000020.0000.667
3 L. Hicks C3100000.0000.000
4 J. Caminero 3B2212101.5002.667
5 V. Mesa LF3221000.6671.667
6 R. Palacios 2B2012011.5001.667
7 J. DeLuca RF2000011.0000.333
8 C. Mullins CF3012000.3330.666
9 T. Walls SS2000002.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS2000001.0000.000
2 K. Schwarber DH2000001.0000.000
3 B. Harper 1B2000000.0000.000
4 A. Bohm 3B2000000.0000.000
5 B. Stott 2B1000000.0000.000
6 B. De La Cruz RF1000000.0000.000
7 B. Marsh LF10100001.0002.000
8 J. Realmuto C1000000.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF10100001.0002.000

Rays vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

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    Dimers’ win probabilities

    • Rays: 45.3%
    • Phillies: 54.7%

    Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

    Our Prediction: Who Wins?

    After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 45.3%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 54.7%.

    Summary

    According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

    Our Rays vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

    For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

    When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

    For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.