Phillies vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
- Phillies
- Mets
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Schwarber | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 2 | T. Turner | SS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | 0.400 |
| 3 | D. Hill | RF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | L. Arraez | 2B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | A. Bohm | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | B. Stott | 3B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.667 |
| 7 | B. Marsh | LF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 8 | J. Crawford | CF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 0.833 |
| 9 | G. Stubbs | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Lindor | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | J. Soto | DH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 3 | B. Bichette | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 4 | C. Benge | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 5 | M. Vientos | 1B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 6 | A. Ewing | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | F. Alvarez | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. Baty | 2B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.667 |
| 9 | N. Morabito | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
Phillies vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Thursday
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. NY Mets Mets
- Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
- Time: 7:15PM ET
- Venue: Citi Field
Current betting odds
- Spread: Phillies (+1.5, -178), Mets (-1.5, +170)
- Moneyline: Phillies +113, Mets -115
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+111/-113)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Phillies: 45.6%
- Mets: 54.4%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 45.6%, while the Mets have a win probability of 54.4%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Citi Field on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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