Padres vs. Rockies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Rockies MLB game on Thursday, September 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Michael King 11-9, 3.03 ERA
9
2
Coors Field
Rockies
Tanner Gordon 1-4, 5.55 ERA
Coors Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
0 7 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 9 15 0
Rockies
1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 9 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    100%
  • Rockies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Zac Veen flies out to deep left field to Samad Taylor.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Song 3B0000000.0000.000
2 D. Harris RF5133001.6001.200
3 J. Bowen CF1000001.0000.000
4 T. France 1B4130000.7501.800
5 A. Hays DH1000000.0000.000
6 X. Bogaerts SS5132102.6002.400
7 F. Fermin C0000010.0001.000
8 J. Cronenworth 2B5220000.4001.200
9 S. Taylor LF4221011.5001.350
Rockies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Beck LF1000001.0000.000
2 C. Norby 1B4011001.2500.500
3 C. Carrigg SS4110001.2500.500
4 A. Amador 2B0000010.0001.000
5 K. Karros 3B4011001.2500.500
6 M. Moniak CF3020010.6671.417
7 T. Johnston DH4000001.0000.000
8 B. Sullivan C4020000.5001.000
9 Z. Veen RF4000003.0000.000

Padres vs. Rockies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
  • Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
  • Time: 3:10PM ET
  • Venue: Coors Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (-1.5, -124), Rockies (+1.5, +122)
  • Moneyline: Padres -182, Rockies +182
  • Total (Over/Under): 10.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 63.7%
  • Rockies: 36.3%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 63.7%, while the Rockies have a win probability of 36.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Rockies in the MLB game at Coors Field on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Rockies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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