Orioles vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Mets MLB game on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Orioles
Chris Bassitt 7-5, 4.88 ERA
7
1
Citi Field
Mets
Xzavion Curry 0-0, 3.44 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 9 1
Mets
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brett Baty grounds out to shallow infield, Christian Encarnacion-Strand to Pete Alonso.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Taveras RF0000000.0000.000
2 P. Alonso 1B4111101.2501.250
3 G. Henderson SS4000001.0000.000
4 C. Mayo DH3100010.0000.250
5 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B4332101.7502.750
6 S. Basallo C4122101.5001.750
7 J. Jackson 2B4112102.2501.250
8 R. Hinds LF4010001.2500.500
9 C. Cowser CF3010011.3330.833
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS4010002.2500.500
2 J. Soto LF4000000.0000.000
3 B. Bichette 3B4010002.2500.500
4 C. Benge RF4000000.0000.000
5 J. Young 1B3110010.3330.833
6 M. Semien 2B4011000.2500.500
7 A. Ewing CF4020001.5001.000
8 B. Baty DH4010001.2500.500
9 L. Torrens C3000002.0000.000

Orioles vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (-1.5, +170), Mets (+1.5, -170)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +104, Mets -106
  • Total (Over/Under): 9 runs (+100/+101)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 45.1%
  • Mets: 54.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 45.1%, while the Mets have a win probability of 54.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Citi Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.