Orioles vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Mets MLB game on Monday, September 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Orioles
Brandon Young 9-4, 3.71 ERA
2
1
Citi Field
Mets
Jonah Tong 2-1, 4.80 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 9 0
Mets
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Francisco Lindor flies out to left field to Dylan Beavers.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Beavers LF5000002.0000.000
2 P. Alonso 1B3000011.0000.250
3 G. Henderson SS4111101.2501.250
4 C. Mayo 3B4010001.2500.500
5 J. Holliday 2B4120000.5001.000
6 C. Encarnacion-Strand DH4010002.2500.750
7 H. Kjerstad RF4021002.5001.250
8 C. Cowser CF4020001.5001.000
9 S. Basallo C2000001.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS4000012.0000.200
2 J. Soto LF3010011.3330.833
3 B. Bichette 3B4000001.0000.000
4 C. Benge RF4020000.5001.000
5 M. Vientos DH1000001.0000.000
6 M. Semien 2B4010000.2500.500
7 A. Ewing CF3111110.3331.833
8 B. Baty 1B3000011.0000.250
9 F. Alvarez C4010001.2500.500

Orioles vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -163), Mets (-1.5, +167)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +133, Mets -135
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+113/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 41.2%
  • Mets: 58.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 41.2%, while the Mets have a win probability of 58.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Citi Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.