Sep 14, 2026
Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]
Read Article Padres vs. Rockies prediction: Why San Diego is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 63.6% win probability for the Padres at Coors Field.
The Colorado Rockies will square off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Coors Field on Monday, beginning at 8:40 PM ET.
The Rockies will have Tomoyuki Sugano (12-9, 5.30 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Casey Mize (5-9, 3.70 ERA) for the Padres.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Padres as the most likely winner in this Padres vs. Rockies prediction.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Padres vs. Rockies prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Padres and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Padres a 63.6% chance of defeating the Rockies. According to our model, the Padres (-1.5) have a 53.7% chance of covering the run line, while the 11-run over/under has a 57.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 (-115) / Rockies +1.5 (+117)
- Moneyline: Padres -180, Rockies +190
- Total: Over/Under 11 (-102/-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Padres -1.5 @ -115 via bet365
- Moneyline: Rockies @ 34¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 11 @ -102 via BetMGM
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 11 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Rockies and Padres at Coors Field is scheduled to start at 8:40 PM ET.
- Who: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
- Time: 8:40 PM ET/5:40PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Padres, with a 63.6% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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