Sep 14, 2026
White Sox vs. Guardians prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]
Read Article Braves vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 54.8% win probability for the Cubs at Wrigley Field.
The Chicago Cubs will square off with the Atlanta Braves, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Wrigley Field on Monday, commencing at 7:40 PM ET.
David Peterson (7-8, 5.28 ERA) will start on the mound for the Cubs, pitting him against Reynaldo López (4-4, 4.13 ERA) for the Braves.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 54.8% win probability over the Braves.
This article offers a complete Braves vs. Cubs prediction, including best bets and picks.
Braves vs. Cubs prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Braves and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Cubs a 54.8% chance of defeating the Braves. According to our model, the Braves (+1.5) have a 61.1% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 50.6% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Braves +1.5 (-163) / Cubs -1.5 (+156)
- Moneyline: Braves +122, Cubs -122
- Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-104/+102)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 @ 39¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Braves @ 45¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Under 9.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Monday's MLB action between the Cubs and Braves at Wrigley Field is scheduled to start at 7:40 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
- Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40PM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 54.8% win probability, will likely beat the Braves in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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