Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Orioles MLB game on August 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Rays
Nick Martinez 12-4, 3.05 ERA
0
2 Out
0
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Shane Baz 4-13, 4.02 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
0 0 0 1 0
Orioles
0 X 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    45%
  • Orioles
    55%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
C. Simpson
C. Mullins
RHP S. Baz
Last At Bat
Outs
Jonny DeLuca flies out to shallow right field to Leody Taveras.
(RHP) Shane Baz
21 Pitches
W-LIPHRERBBKERA
Season 4-13 145.2 147 75 65 48 632 4.016
Today 1.2 1 0 0 0 1
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH1000000.0000.000
2 J. Aranda 1B1000001.0000.000
3 J. Caminero 3B1000000.0000.000
4 L. Hicks C1000000.0000.000
5 C. Simpson LF10100001.0002.000
6 J. DeLuca RF1000000.0000.000
7 C. Mullins CF0000000.0000.000
8 R. Palacios 2B0000000.0000.000
9 T. Walls SS0000000.0000.000
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B1000000.0000.000
2 P. Alonso 1B1000000.0000.000
3 G. Henderson SS1000000.0000.000
4 S. Basallo C0000000.0000.000
5 C. Mayo DH0000000.0000.000
6 D. Beavers LF0000000.0000.000
7 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B0000000.0000.000
8 C. Cowser CF0000000.0000.000
9 L. Taveras RF0000000.0000.000

Rays vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rays vs. Orioles
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rays +104, Orioles -104

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rays: 48%
  • Orioles: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 48%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.