Pirates vs. Reds: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Reds MLB game on Saturday, August 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 10-4, 4.05 ERA
4
1
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Andrew Abbott 5-6, 3.85 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 6 1
Reds
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum RF5120001.4000.800
2 B. Lowe 2B4110011.2500.650
3 B. Reynolds LF4011010.2500.650
4 B. Cook CF0000000.0000.000
5 N. Gonzales 3B4001000.0000.000
6 M. Ozuna DH4110000.2500.750
7 J. Triolo SS2000020.0000.500
8 R. Flores 1B4000001.0000.000
9 H. Davis C3111010.3330.833
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS4000001.0000.000
2 S. Stewart DH2000012.0000.500
3 J. Bleday LF4000001.0000.000
4 N. Lowe 1B4010000.2500.500
5 N. Marte RF4000001.0000.000
6 E. Suárez 3B4010003.2500.750
7 J. Trevino C3111101.3331.666
8 T. Friedl CF3000000.0000.000
9 M. McLain 2B2000011.0000.333

Pirates vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (-1.5, +147), Reds (+1.5, -150)
  • Moneyline: Pirates -115, Reds +113
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+113/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 50.5%
  • Reds: 49.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 50.5%, while the Reds have a win probability of 49.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.