Diamondbacks vs. Pirates: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates MLB game on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Eduardo Rodriguez 9-3, 2.64 ERA
3
0
PNC Park
Pirates
Jared Jones 2-1, 3.72 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 6 0
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Pirates
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ryan O'Hearn hits into a force out to shortstop. Esmerlyn Valdez out at second.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Carroll RF4110000.2500.750
2 G. Perdomo SS4000001.0000.000
3 G. Moreno C3212111.3331.833
4 K. Marte DH4010000.2500.500
5 M. Kepler LF4021001.5001.000
6 N. Arenado 3B4000002.0000.000
7 T. Tawa 1B4000001.0000.000
8 I. Vargas 2B2010010.5001.667
9 J. Barrosa CF3000000.0000.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Gonzales 3B4010000.2500.500
2 B. Lowe 2B4010002.2500.500
3 B. Reynolds LF3010011.3330.833
4 E. Valdez RF3000010.0000.250
5 R. O'Hearn 1B4000000.0000.000
6 M. Ozuna DH3000000.0000.000
7 J. Triolo SS3020000.6671.334
8 J. Garcia CF3000000.0000.000
9 H. Davis C3000001.0000.000

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Wednesday, July 29, 2026
  • Time: 12:35PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Diamondbacks (+1.5, -156), Pirates (-1.5, +156)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +127, Pirates -130
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Diamondbacks: 46.0%
  • Pirates: 54.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Diamondbacks a win probability of 46.0%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 54.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at PNC Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.