Phillies vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Marlins MLB game on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 9-5, 3.31 ERA
6
8
loanDepot park
Marlins
Ryan Gusto 0-2, 4.50 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 1
Marlins
0 0 0 0 3 0 3 2 X 8 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trea Turner flies out to deep center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner DH5121100.4001.400
2 B. Stott 2B2112020.5001.750
3 B. Harper 1B4111002.2501.000
4 A. Bohm 3B4011000.2500.500
5 J. Realmuto C3100011.0000.250
6 B. Marsh LF4010001.2500.500
7 B. De La Cruz RF3001002.0000.000
8 J. Crawford CF3120011.6671.417
9 E. Sosa SS4110000.2500.500
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Lopez SS5122000.4000.800
2 H. Hernández LF4112100.2501.250
3 L. Hicks 1B3000010.0000.250
4 X. Edwards 2B3012010.3330.833
5 J. Sanoja 3B3010010.3331.167
6 K. Stowers DH3100012.0000.250
7 E. Ruiz RF4220002.5001.250
8 J. Mack C0000000.0000.000
9 J. Marsee CF2100011.0000.333

Phillies vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Wednesday, July 29, 2026
  • Time: 12:10PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +104), Marlins (+1.5, -106)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -156, Marlins +153
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+113/-112)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 60.7%
  • Marlins: 39.3%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 60.7%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 39.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.