D-Backs vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Pirates MLB game on July 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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D-Backs
Brandon Pfaadt 5-1, 4.43 ERA
8
7
Jul 28, 6:40 PM ET PNC Park
Pirates
Bubba Chandler 3-8, 4.47 ERA
Jul 28, 6:40 PM ET PNC Park
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 RHE
D-Backs
1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 8 16 1
Pirates
0 0 0 0 3 3 1 0 0 7 14 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Pirates
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Tyler Callihan strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Carroll RF5021011.4000.971
2 G. Perdomo SS7110003.1430.572
3 G. Moreno DH6112000.1670.334
4 K. Marte 2B6010000.1670.500
5 M. Kepler LF4110012.2501.000
6 T. Locklear 1B1200000.0000.000
7 J. Barrosa CF0000000.0000.000
8 J. McCann C6141001.6671.334
9 I. Vargas 3B2011000.5001.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum CF6120001.3330.833
2 B. Lowe 2B5122110.4001.700
3 B. Reynolds LF4211111.2501.500
4 E. Valdez RF6010002.1670.500
5 B. Cook PR0000000.0000.000
6 N. Gonzales 3B6120001.3330.666
7 E. Rodríguez C6111003.1670.334
8 T. Callihan DH1000001.0000.000
9 J. Triolo SS2000001.0000.000

D-Backs vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Pirates
  • Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs +104, Pirates +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 50%
  • Pirates: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 50%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at PNC Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.