Phillies vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Marlins MLB game on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Aaron Nola 3-8, 5.82 ERA
0
1
loanDepot park
Marlins
Sandy Alcantara 10-6, 4.01 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1
Marlins
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 1 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Edmundo Sosa strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000001.0000.000
2 B. Stott 2B4000002.0000.000
3 B. Harper DH4010000.2500.500
4 A. Bohm 1B3010011.3330.833
5 B. Marsh LF4000001.0000.000
6 E. Sosa 3B4000002.0000.000
7 J. Crawford CF3000000.0000.000
8 B. De La Cruz RF3020000.6671.667
9 G. Stubbs C3000000.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Lopez SS4000000.0000.000
2 K. Stowers 1B3111110.3331.833
3 H. Hernández LF4000003.0000.000
4 X. Edwards 2B2010020.5001.250
5 L. Hicks DH4020000.5001.000
6 E. Ruiz RF2000001.0000.000
7 J. Marsee CF2000010.0000.333
8 J. Sanoja 3B1000001.0000.000
9 J. Mack C2010010.5001.167

Phillies vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (+1.5, -178), Marlins (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Phillies +122, Marlins -125
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+115/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 48.2%
  • Marlins: 51.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 48.2%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 51.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.