Puebla vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on July 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
2
Estadio Banorte
Cruz Azul
Estadio Banorte
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
L. Romero (44')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ebere (82')
Soccer ball icon
F. Monarrez (28')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Mustre (Puebla) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: M. Tomas replaces S. Sanabria
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ramirez (Puebla) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere, assisted by J. Paradela
    1-2
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces K. Velasco
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Ramirez replaces A. Organista
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces C. Rotondi
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces L. Romero
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces G. Fernandez
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Palavecino replaces N. Ibanez
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: W. Ditta replaces G. Piovi
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces A. Herrera
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Mustre replaces L. Hernandez
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    N. Ibanez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  16. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by L. Romero, assisted by J. Marquez
    1-1
  17. 37'
    Yellow Card
    L. Romero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  18. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by F. Monarrez, assisted by A. Herrera
    1-0

Puebla vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +800, Cruz Azul -290, draw +460
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 10.3%
  • Cruz Azul: 72.8%
  • Draw: 16.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 0-2 Cruz Azul (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Puebla vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 72.8%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 0-2 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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