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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/24/2026]
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Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara in the World Cup on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
2
1
May 17, 1:07 AM
May 17, 1:07 AM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
O. Govea (8')
J. Marquez (5')
A. Palavecino (66')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces J. Paradela
J. Marquez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
S. Aguayo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces O. Campos
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Orozco replaces A. Palavecino
O. Campos (Cruz Azul) cautioned
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces C. Ebere
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Aguayo replaces J. Castillo
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces M. Gomez
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces C. Rotondi
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by C. Rodriguez
2-1
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Aguirre replaces S. Sandoval
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces R. Ledezma
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces E. Alvarez
F. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by O. Govea, assisted by F. Gonzalez
1-1
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez
1-0
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Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 9:07 PM ET
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Cruz Azul +220, Guadalajara +130, draw +240
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-111/-105)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Cruz Azul: 34.1%
- Guadalajara: 39.5%
- Draw: 26.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Cruz Azul 1-1 Guadalajara.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.5%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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