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Toluca vs. Queretaro Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Queretaro Liga MX match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
0
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Apr 4, 7:00 PM ET Estadio La Corregidora
Apr 4, 7:00 PM ET Estadio La Corregidora
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
A. Avila (76')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Queretaro
- Toluca
Win Probability
Match Timeline
A. Avila (Queretaro) cautioned
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Robles replaces M. Coronel
Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces A. Avila
N. Castro (Toluca) cautioned
B. Duarte (Queretaro) cautioned
Substitution for Queretaro: C. Villanueva replaces Jhojan Julio
Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces S. Homenchenko
Substitution for Toluca: S. Simon replaces D. Barbosa
Substitution for Toluca: F. Rossi replaces J. Angulo
Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila, assisted by Jhojan Julio
0-1
Substitution for Toluca: S. Cordova replaces J. Diaz
Substitution for Queretaro: F. Venegas replaces J. Cazares
Substitution for Toluca: A. Vega replaces Helinho
Substitution for Toluca: J. Gallardo replaces M. Isais
L. Abascia (Queretaro) cautioned
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Toluca vs. Queretaro: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Queretaro
- Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio La Corregidora
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca -180, Queretaro +480, draw +340
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Toluca: 61.8%
- Queretaro: 17.5%
- Draw: 20.7%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Toluca 2-0 Queretaro (10.1%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Toluca vs. Queretaro? Prediction & correct score
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.8%.
The most likely correct score is Toluca 2-0 Queretaro.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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