San Luis vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
San Luis
2
1
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
San LuisASL
U. Djurdjevic (20')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (48')
Soccer ball icon
D. Rodriguez (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Luis
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    O. Torres (Monterrey) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Cruz (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by D. Rodriguez, assisted by S. Salles-Lamonge
    2-1
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Robson Bambu replaces O. Macias
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Ocampos replaces U. Djurdjevic
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces R. Meraz
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Rodriguez replaces J. Medina
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces J. Corona
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: S. Medina replaces C. Salcedo
  10. 66'
    Yellow Card
    C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
  11. 51'
    Yellow Card
    O. Macias (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  12. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by S. Salles-Lamonge
    1-1
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: L. Flores replaces A. Duarte
  14. 22'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Orellano replaces J. Rodriguez
  15. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by U. Djurdjevic, assisted by O. Torres
    0-1
  16. 9'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sanchez (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

San Luis vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +500, Monterrey -180, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-200/+150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Luis: 15.7%
  • Monterrey: 65.6%
  • Draw: 18.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Luis 1-2 Monterrey (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win San Luis vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.6%.

The most likely correct score is San Luis 1-2 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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