Atlas vs. Club Leon Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Club Leon Liga MX match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
0
2
Club Leon
Club LeonLEO
Score Summary
AtlasATL
D. Cambindo (13')
Soccer ball icon
D. Arcila (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Rodriguez (39')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Leon
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlas
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by D. Arcila, assisted by I. Diaz
    0-2
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces R. Echeverria
  3. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces S. Hernandez
  4. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces A. Rocha
  5. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: E. Rodriguez replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: I. Diaz replaces N. Vallejo
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces E. Aguirre
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: D. Arcila replaces F. Beltran Cruz
  9. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Zaldivar replaces A. Gonzalez
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: Gustavo Ferrareis replaces G. Aguirre
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: B. Colula replaces I. Moreno
  12. 39'
    Red Card
    J. Rodriguez (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
  13. 27'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Atlas) cautioned
  14. 15'
    Yellow Card
    I. Moreno (Club Leon) cautioned
  15. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by D. Cambindo, assisted by I. Moreno
    0-1
  16. 8'
    Yellow Card
    R. Schlegel (Atlas) cautioned
  17. 5'
    Yellow Card
    F. Beltran Cruz (Club Leon) cautioned

Atlas vs. Club Leon: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Club Leon
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +240, Club Leon +125, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 25.3%
  • Club Leon: 50.1%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 1-1 Club Leon (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Atlas vs. Club Leon? Prediction & correct score

Club Leon is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.1%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 1-1 Club Leon.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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