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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/24/2026]
LMX
Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul in the World Cup on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
2
1
Apr 5, 1:05AM
Apr 5, 1:05AM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
C. Ebere (45')
Kenedy (5')
Kenedy (58')
C. Rivera (84')
V. Guzman (89')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
S. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned
P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned
V. Guzman (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Pachuca: P. Pedraza replaces V. Guzman
C. Rivera (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces C. Ebere
Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces J. Marquez
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces C. Rodriguez
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces O. Idrissi
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces Kenedy
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rondon
Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rodriguez replaces E. Montiel
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces L. Romero
Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy, assisted by O. Idrissi
2-1
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere
1-1
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces J. Rodarte
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy
1-0
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Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
- Time: 9:05 PM ET
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Pachuca +215, Cruz Azul +125, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+108)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Pachuca: 20.1%
- Cruz Azul: 57.5%
- Draw: 22.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Pachuca 1-1 Cruz Azul.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.5%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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