Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
2
1
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
C. Ebere (45')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (5')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (58')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rivera (84')
Red Card icon
V. Guzman (89')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Red Card
    V. Guzman (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: P. Pedraza replaces V. Guzman
  5. 84'
    Red Card
    C. Rivera (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces C. Ebere
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces J. Marquez
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces C. Rodriguez
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces O. Idrissi
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces Kenedy
  11. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rondon
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rodriguez replaces E. Montiel
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces L. Romero
  14. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy, assisted by O. Idrissi
    2-1
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere
    1-1
  16. 32'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces J. Rodarte
  17. 23'
    Yellow Card
    G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  18. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy
    1-0

Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +215, Cruz Azul +125, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pachuca: 20.1%
  • Cruz Azul: 57.5%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pachuca 1-1 Cruz Azul (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.5%.

The most likely correct score is Pachuca 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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