Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
2
1
Apr 4, 9:05 PM ET
Cruz Azul
Apr 4, 9:05 PM ET
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
C. Ebere (45')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (5')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (58')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rivera (84')
Red Card icon
V. Guzman (89')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
S. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned
89'
Red Card
V. Guzman (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: P. Pedraza replaces V. Guzman
84'
Red Card
C. Rivera (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces C. Ebere
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces J. Marquez
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces C. Rodriguez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces O. Idrissi
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces Kenedy
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rondon
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rodriguez replaces E. Montiel
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces L. Romero
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy, assisted by O. Idrissi
2-1
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere
1-1
32'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces J. Rodarte
23'
Yellow Card
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy
1-0

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Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +215, Cruz Azul +125, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pachuca: 20.1%
  • Cruz Azul: 57.5%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pachuca 1-1 Cruz Azul (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.5%.

The most likely correct score is Pachuca 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.