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Toluca vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on March 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
1
:
1
Mar 22, 7:00 PM ET Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Mar 22, 7:00 PM ET Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
E. Montiel (72')
F. Romero (45')
F. Arce (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Pachuca
- Toluca
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Toluca: S. Cordova replaces Paulinho
L. Quinones (Pachuca) cautioned
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces Kenedy
Substitution for Pachuca: G. Alvarez replaces O. Idrissi
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Alfaro replaces S. D. Barreto
Paulinho (Toluca) cautioned
F. Arce (Toluca) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Toluca: J. Diaz replaces A. Vega
Substitution for Toluca: D. Barbosa replaces S. Simon
Goal scored for Pachuca by E. Montiel, assisted by Kenedy
1-1
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Montiel replaces V. Guzman
Substitution for Toluca: F. Arce replaces Helinho
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces A. Dominguez
S. D. Barreto (Pachuca) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by F. Romero
1-0
S. Rondon (Pachuca) cautioned
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
E. del Villar (Toluca) cautioned
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Toluca vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Pachuca
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca -110, Pachuca +290, draw +280
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+132)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Toluca: 48.5%
- Pachuca: 28.3%
- Draw: 23.1%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Toluca 1-1 Pachuca (10.5%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Toluca vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.5%.
The most likely correct score is Toluca 1-1 Pachuca.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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