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Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Monterrey at the Liga MX on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
3
2
Mar 22, 1:05AM Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Mar 22, 1:05AM Estadio BBVA
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
U. Djurdjevic (88')
Soccer ball icon
R. Chavez (90')
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A. Gonzalez (18')
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J. Castillo (46')
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B. Gonzalez (55')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MON
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by R. Chavez, assisted by O. Torres
3-2
90'
Yellow Card
B. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Penalty missed by U. Djurdjevic for Monterrey
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by U. Djurdjevic, assisted by R. Chavez
3-1
84'
Yellow Card
D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Galvez replaces R. de la Rosa
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces L. Orellano
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces O. Govea
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces A. Gonzalez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces R. Alvarado
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Sepulveda
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Torres replaces F. Ambriz
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Bustos replaces C. Reyes
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Ledezma
3-0
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by J. Castillo, assisted by B. Gonzalez
2-0
45'
Yellow Card
C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by A. Sepulveda
1-0

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Guadalajara vs. Monterrey: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Monterrey prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +105, Monterrey +280, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-142/+116)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 37.0%
  • Monterrey: 37.8%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.0% probability, while Monterrey sits at 37.8%, with the draw at 25.2%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Monterrey prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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