Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Guadalajara
3
2
Mar 21, 9:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Mar 21, 9:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
U. Djurdjevic (88')
Soccer ball icon
R. Chavez (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (18')
Soccer ball icon
J. Castillo (46')
Soccer ball icon
B. Gonzalez (55')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by R. Chavez, assisted by O. Torres
3-2
90'
Yellow Card
B. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Penalty missed by U. Djurdjevic for Monterrey
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by U. Djurdjevic, assisted by R. Chavez
3-1
84'
Yellow Card
D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Galvez replaces R. de la Rosa
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces L. Orellano
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces O. Govea
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces A. Gonzalez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces R. Alvarado
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Sepulveda
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Torres replaces F. Ambriz
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Bustos replaces C. Reyes
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Ledezma
3-0
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by J. Castillo, assisted by B. Gonzalez
2-0
45'
Yellow Card
C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by A. Sepulveda
1-0

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Guadalajara vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +105, Monterrey +280, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-142/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 37.0%
  • Monterrey: 37.8%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Guadalajara vs. Monterrey, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.