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Santos Laguna vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Santos Laguna vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Santos Laguna
0
3
Mar 14, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Mar 14, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Santos LagunaSAN
A. Gonzalez (12')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (31')
Soccer ball icon
B. Gutierrez (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SAN
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gutierrez, assisted by B. Gonzalez
0-3
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Orona replaces B. Amione
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. A. Ocejo Zazueta replaces C. Gruezo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: C. Dajome replaces E. Bullaude
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. C. Echilvestre replaces J. Abella
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Sepulveda
63'
Yellow Card
R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces A. Gonzalez
58'
Yellow Card
M. Tapias (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
C. Gruezo (Santos Laguna) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
E. Bullaude (Santos Laguna) cautioned
47'
Yellow Card
O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces F. Gonzalez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: A. Lopez replaces L. Gomez
45'
Yellow Card
F. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
B. Amione (Santos Laguna) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Ledezma
0-2
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez
0-1

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Santos Laguna vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Santos Laguna vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Santos Laguna vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Santos Laguna +1000, Guadalajara -350, draw +525
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/+188)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Santos Laguna: 10.2%
  • Guadalajara: 73.4%
  • Draw: 16.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Santos Laguna 0-2 Guadalajara, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Santos Laguna is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 10.2% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 73.4%, with the draw at 16.4%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Santos Laguna vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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