Club Leon vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Leon vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on March 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Club Leon
0
5
Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Estadio Akron
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Club LeonLEO
B. Gutierrez (36')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sandoval (46')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (pen.) (66')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (90')
Soccer ball icon
H. Camberos (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Cortizo (61')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Leon
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda
    0-4
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Echeverria (Club Leon) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by H. Camberos
    0-5
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: R. Funes Mori replaces I. Diaz
  5. 79'
    Yellow Card
    G. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces F. Gonzalez
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Gonzalez
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: G. Sepulveda replaces J. Castillo
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces S. Sandoval
  11. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: A. Alvarado replaces D. Cambindo
  12. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
    0-3
  13. 61'
    Red Card
    J. Cortizo (Club Leon) sent off with a straight red card
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: F. Beltran Cruz replaces D. Arcila
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: S. Reyes replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces A. Estrada
  17. 46'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by S. Sandoval, assisted by E. Alvarez
    0-2
  18. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gutierrez, assisted by D. Aguirre
    0-1
  19. 3'
    Yellow Card
    S. Vegas (Club Leon) cautioned

Club Leon vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Leon vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
  • Time: 10:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Leon +650, Guadalajara -250, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+144)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Leon: 19.0%
  • Guadalajara: 58.7%
  • Draw: 22.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Leon 0-1 Guadalajara (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Club Leon vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.7%.

The most likely correct score is Club Leon 0-1 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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