Necaxa vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Puebla Liga MX match on March 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
0
:
0
Mar 13, 9:00 PM ET
Puebla
Mar 13, 9:00 PM ET
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
K. Rosero (60')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces F. Rossano
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Araos replaces E. Guerra
81'
Yellow Card
E. Guerra (Puebla) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces J. Ruiz
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces K. Velasco
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces I. Moreno
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces E. Navarro
60'
Red Card
K. Rosero (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
59'
Yellow Card
I. Moreno (Puebla) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Organista replaces J. R. Pachuca Martinez
45'
Yellow Card
N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
D. Leyva (Necaxa) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
E. Navarro (Puebla) cautioned

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Necaxa vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +230, Puebla +125, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 31.7%
  • Puebla: 44.1%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Puebla (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Puebla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Necaxa vs. Puebla, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.