Necaxa vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Puebla Liga MX match on March 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
0
:
0
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
K. Rosero (60')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces F. Rossano
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Araos replaces E. Guerra
  3. 81'
    Yellow Card
    E. Guerra (Puebla) cautioned
  4. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces J. Ruiz
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces K. Velasco
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces I. Moreno
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces E. Navarro
  8. 60'
    Red Card
    K. Rosero (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
  9. 59'
    Yellow Card
    I. Moreno (Puebla) cautioned
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Organista replaces J. R. Pachuca Martinez
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
  12. 40'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
  13. 34'
    Yellow Card
    D. Leyva (Necaxa) cautioned
  14. 27'
    Yellow Card
    E. Navarro (Puebla) cautioned

Necaxa vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +230, Puebla +125, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 31.7%
  • Puebla: 44.1%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Puebla (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Necaxa vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Puebla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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