Cruz Azul vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Juarez Liga MX match on January 30, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

Start your FREE 3-day trial of Dimers Pro

FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

Cruz Azul

Jan 30, 10:06 PM ET

Juarez

Jan 30, 10:06 PM ET

JuarezJUA

Score Summary

Cruz AzulCRA

O. Estupinan (pen.) (45')

Guilherme Castilho (81')

O. Estupinan (90')

A. Palavecino (1')

J. Paradela (7')

C. Rotondi (39')

C. Rodriguez (51')

G. Fernandez (83')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Juarez
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Cruz Azul
100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan

4-3

90'

Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Marquez

86'

Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces A. Morales

86'

Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Sanchez replaces O. Campos

83'

G. Fernandez (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card

81'

Goal scored for Juarez by Guilherme Castilho

4-2

79'

A. Gudino (Cruz Azul) cautioned

68'

Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces R. Pizarro

68'

Substitution for Juarez: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin replaces Ricardinho

68'

Substitution for Juarez: J. Manriquez replaces J. Aquino

68'

Substitution for Juarez: E. Lopez replaces A. Mayorga

67'

Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela

67'

Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces C. Rodriguez

62'

Penalty missed by C. Rotondi for Cruz Azul

51'

Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by J. Paradela

4-1

46'

Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces H. E. Martinez Yepez

45'

Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan (pen.)

3-1

39'

Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi, assisted by G. Fernandez

3-0

22'

W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned

19'

H. E. Martinez Yepez (Juarez) cautioned

Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela

2-0

Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by G. Fernandez

1-0

Cruz Azul vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Juarez
Date: Friday, January 30, 2026
Time: 10:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Cruz Azul +110, Juarez +260, draw +245
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+102/-124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Cruz Azul: 49.5%
Juarez: 25.1%
Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Juarez (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

Today's best bets
Moneyline probabilities
Total goals probabilities
Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.5%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Cruz Azul vs. Juarez, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.