Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/21/2026]
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Monterrey vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Toluca Liga MX match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
2
3
Dec 6, 8:00 PM ET
Dec 6, 8:00 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
F. Pereira (19')
Paulinho (43')
Helinho (pen.) (51')
S. Ramos (pen.) (58')
R. de la Rosa (75')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Toluca
- Monterrey
Win Probability
Match Timeline
F. Romero (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: D. Barbosa replaces Paulinho
Substitution for Monterrey: L. Ocampos replaces J. Rodriguez
Goal scored for Monterrey by R. de la Rosa
2-3
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces J. Angulo
Substitution for Toluca: A. Briseno replaces Helinho
Substitution for Monterrey: E. Aguirre replaces O. Torres
Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces R. Chavez
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Ramos (pen.)
1-3
Goal scored for Toluca by Helinho (pen.)
0-3
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Martial replaces L. Reyes
Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces F. Ambriz
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by N. Castro
0-2
Goal scored for Toluca by F. Pereira, assisted by Helinho
0-1
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Monterrey vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Monterrey vs. Toluca
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Monterrey +650, Toluca -250, draw +410
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Monterrey: 18.0%
- Toluca: 62.7%
- Draw: 19.3%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-2 Toluca (9.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.7%.
The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-2 Toluca.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Monterrey vs. Toluca, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
