Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on November 8, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Pumas UNAM
3
2
Nov 8, 10:05 PM ET
Cruz Azul
Nov 8, 10:05 PM ET
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
G. Fernandez (14')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (19')
Soccer ball icon
L. Faravelli (65')
Red Card icon
J. Ruvalcaba (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Angulo (pen.) (80')
Soccer ball icon
A. Medina (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
S. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Sepulveda (Cruz Azul) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Ruvalcaba (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Medina, assisted by S. Lopez
3-2
84'
Yellow Card
R. Duarte (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Angulo (pen.)
2-2
76'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces J. Caicedo
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces C. Rodriguez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces G. Fernandez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces M. Bogusz
66'
Yellow Card
E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
65'
Red Card
L. Faravelli (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card
63'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Lopez replaces P. Bennevendo
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces J. Marquez
45'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Gudino replaces K. Mier
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
1-2
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by J. Sanchez
1-1
10'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Vite replaces J. Macias
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by A. Angulo
1-0

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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +350, Cruz Azul -125, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+104)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 22.5%
  • Cruz Azul: 52.7%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 0-1 Cruz Azul (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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