Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on November 8, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
3
2
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
G. Fernandez (14')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (19')
Soccer ball icon
L. Faravelli (65')
Red Card icon
J. Ruvalcaba (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Angulo (pen.) (80')
Soccer ball icon
A. Medina (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sepulveda (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ruvalcaba (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Medina, assisted by S. Lopez
    3-2
  5. 84'
    Yellow Card
    R. Duarte (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Angulo (pen.)
    2-2
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces J. Caicedo
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces C. Rodriguez
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces G. Fernandez
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces M. Bogusz
  11. 66'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  12. 65'
    Red Card
    L. Faravelli (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card
  13. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Lopez replaces P. Bennevendo
  14. 52'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces J. Marquez
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Gudino replaces K. Mier
  18. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
    1-2
  19. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by J. Sanchez
    1-1
  20. 10'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Vite replaces J. Macias
  21. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by A. Angulo
    1-0

Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +350, Cruz Azul -125, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+104)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 22.5%
  • Cruz Azul: 52.7%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 0-1 Cruz Azul (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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