Elche vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Valencia La Liga match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Valencia
0
1
Apr 11, 10:15 AM ET
Elche
Apr 11, 10:15 AM ET
ElcheELC
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
L. Cepeda (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: V. Chust replaces G. Valera
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: A. Danjuma replaces L. Beltran
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Pepelu replaces E. Comert
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces J. Gaya
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Elche by L. Cepeda, assisted by A. Febas
0-1
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces M. Neto
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: A. Pedrosa replaces G. Villar
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: A. Rodriguez replaces Andre Silva
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: J. Donald replaces Buba Sangare
63'
Yellow Card
G. Rodriguez (Valencia) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces U. Sadiq
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: D. Lopez replaces L. Rioja
59'
Yellow Card
Buba Sangare (Elche) cautioned

Elche vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Valencia
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +165, Valencia +165, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 39.4%
  • Valencia: 34.0%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Valencia (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Elche vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Elche is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.4%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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