Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/19/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 42.8% chance of Osasuna winning, a 30.7% chance for Rayo Vallecano, and a 26.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.3% chance of staying under., with a 51.3% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +223, Osasuna +144
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+113/-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Osasuna @ +144 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +113 via Novig

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Osasuna to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (12.6% probability)
• Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano (11%)
• Osasuna 0-1 Rayo Vallecano (9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.3% chance of both Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano finding the net and a 48.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga game between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano at Estadio El Sadar is scheduled to begin in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
• Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Osasuna has a 42.8% win probability on Saturday, Rayo Vallecano has a 30.7% win probability, and there is a 26.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.