Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on September 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
1
:
1
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Estadio El Sadar
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
A. Budimir (16')
Soccer ball icon
S. Camello (51')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Alemao (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Bouare replaces U. Lopez
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces A. Garcia
  4. 77'
    Yellow Card
    S. Herrera (Osasuna) cautioned
  5. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces J. de Frutos
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces U. Santos
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Tsitaishvili replaces S. Camello
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: L. Torro replaces J. Moncayola
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: J. Dubasin replaces R. Garcia
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces O. Valentin
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Moro replaces K. Barja
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces D. Rico
  14. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by A. Pedrosa
    1-1
  15. 25'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ciss (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  16. 21'
    Yellow Card
    A. Osambela (Osasuna) cautioned
  17. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir
    0-1

Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna <1¢, Rayo Vallecano <1¢, draw 29¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (46¢/-125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Osasuna: 38.1%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 35.7%
  • Draw: 26.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Osasuna is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.1%.

The most likely correct score is Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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