Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves La Liga match on September 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
FINAL
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LA LIGA
Alaves
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Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Areso (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces Y. Berchiche
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces P. Ibanez
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Perez replaces L. Boye
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Blanco replaces C. Protesoni
  6. 71'
    Yellow Card
    I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  7. 70'
    Penalty missed by O. Sancet for Ath Bilbao
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces A. Rebbach
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces M. Diaz
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces I. Williams
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces M. Jauregizar
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces J. Louis-Jean

Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao 14¢, Alaves 7¢, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (48¢/53¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 55.6%
  • Alaves: 20.5%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.6%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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