Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia La Liga match on December 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
1
2
Dec 13, 8:00 AM ET Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Dec 13, 8:00 AM ET Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
Koke (17')
Soccer ball icon
A. Griezmann (74')
Soccer ball icon
L. Beltran (63')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Almada (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
H. Duro (Valencia) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
D. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: J. Gaya replaces J. Vazquez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: L. Ramazani replaces Pepelu
78'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann, assisted by M. Pubill
1-2
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: J. Guerra replaces F. Ugrinic
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: B. Santamaria replaces E. Comert
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by L. Beltran, assisted by A. Almeida
1-1
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces N. Gonzalez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces J. Alvarez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces P. Barrios
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: L. Beltran replaces D. Lopez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces N. Molina
42'
Yellow Card
A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
34'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
32'
Yellow Card
M. Pubill (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by Koke
0-1

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Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia
  • Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -310, Valencia +800, draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 68.3%
  • Valencia: 12.7%
  • Draw: 19.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Valencia (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.3%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.