Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves La Liga match on October 26, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Alaves
0
1
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
Alemao (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Alemao, assisted by P. Chavarria
    0-1
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces Alemao
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces T. Martinez
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces J. de Frutos
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Ciss replaces O. Valentin
  6. 72'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ibanez (Alaves) cautioned
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces D. Suarez
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Garcia replaces U. Lopez
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Palazon replaces F. Perez
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces C. Vicente
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
  12. 53'
    Yellow Card
    D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: V. Parada replaces J. Pacheco
  14. 34'
    Yellow Card
    A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
  15. 28'
    Yellow Card
    U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +125, Alaves +270, draw +200

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 43.1%
  • Alaves: 28.4%
  • Draw: 28.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves (13.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.1%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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