Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bruins vs. Lightning NHL game on April 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Bruins
1
3
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Bruins
0 1 0 1
Lightning
0 0 3 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bruins
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Bruins
0 1 0 1
Lightning
0 0 3 3
P3 18:40 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 18:27 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel and Ryan McDonagh (Empty Net)
P3 18:26 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:08 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
P3 16:36 David Pastrnak shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 15:47 Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 15:32 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 13:46 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 08:01 Nick Paul shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
P3 07:54 Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
P3 06:04 Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P3 03:25 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 02:52 Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:07 Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:42 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Jordan Harris
P3 00:54 David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 00:19 Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 19:57 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
P2 18:08 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 17:59 Brayden Point shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
  3. P3 18:27
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:27
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel and Ryan McDonagh (Empty Net)
    1-3
  5. P3 18:26
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
    1-3
  6. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
  7. P3 17:43
    Bruins won faceoff against Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
  8. P3 17:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  9. P3 17:00
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  10. P3 17:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  11. P3 16:36
    SHOT
    David Pastrnak shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  12. P3 15:47
    SHOT
    Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  13. P3 15:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  14. P3 15:17
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  15. P3 14:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  16. P3 14:29
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  17. P3 14:03
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  18. P3 13:50
    Bruins won faceoff against Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
  19. P3 13:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  20. P3 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jeremy Swayman
  21. P3 11:43
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
  22. P3 11:29
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  23. P3 11:29
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  24. P3 08:01
    SHOT
    Nick Paul shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
  25. P3 07:54
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
  26. P3 06:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
  27. P3 04:31
    Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  28. P3 04:22
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  29. P3 04:22
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  30. P3 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
  31. P3 02:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 02:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  33. P3 02:13
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
  34. P3 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jeremy Swayman
  35. P3 01:42
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Jordan Harris
  36. P3 00:54
    SHOT
    David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  37. P3 00:42
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  38. P3 00:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jeremy Swayman
  39. P3 00:00
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  40. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  41. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
  42. P2 18:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  43. P2 17:59
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
  44. P2 17:53
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
  45. P2 17:16
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  46. P2 17:02
    Nikita Zadorov won faceoff against Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
  47. P2 17:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  48. P2 16:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  49. P2 15:57
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by David Pastrnak
  50. P2 14:31
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
  51. P2 14:31
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Casey Mittelstadt shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  52. P2 14:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P2 14:16
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  54. P2 14:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  55. P2 13:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  56. P2 13:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jeremy Swayman
  57. P2 12:16
    Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  58. P2 11:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jeremy Swayman
  59. P2 11:38
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  60. P2 11:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  61. P2 10:53
    Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  62. P2 10:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  63. P2 10:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
  64. P2 10:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  65. P2 09:22
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
  66. P2 08:43
    Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  67. P2 07:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Harris saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  68. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Mitchell Chaffee shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
  69. P2 06:47
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  70. P2 06:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Casey Mittelstadt assisted by Viktor Arvidsson and Pavel Zacha
    1-0
  71. P2 06:06
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  72. P2 06:03
    SHOT
    Andrew Peeke shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  73. P2 05:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  74. P2 05:54
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  75. P2 05:48
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  76. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  77. P2 05:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hampus Lindholm
  78. P2 04:53
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  79. P2 03:58
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  80. P2 03:26
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  81. P2 02:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  82. P2 02:01
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  83. P2 02:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  84. P2 01:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  85. P2 01:35
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  86. P2 00:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  87. P2 00:00
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  88. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  89. P1 19:01
    Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  90. P1 19:01
    Stoppage - Offside
  91. P1 17:47
    Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  92. P1 17:29
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  93. P1 17:29
    Stoppage - Offside
  94. P1 15:28
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  95. P1 15:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  96. P1 15:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  97. P1 14:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  98. P1 14:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Harris saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  99. P1 14:34
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
  100. P1 14:32
    Takeaway by Tanner Jeannot in offensive zone
  101. P1 14:30
    Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Nick Paul in offensive zone
  102. P1 13:00
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  103. P1 11:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  104. P1 10:32
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  105. P1 10:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P1 09:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
  107. P1 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Zacha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  108. P1 09:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  109. P1 09:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
  110. P1 09:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  111. P1 08:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitchell Chaffee
  112. P1 08:32
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  113. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  114. P1 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Zadorov
  115. P1 07:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jeremy Swayman
  116. P1 07:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  117. P1 05:49
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  118. P1 05:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  119. P1 05:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
  120. P1 05:25
    SHOT
    Mark Kastelic shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  121. P1 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  122. P1 04:26
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
  123. P1 04:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P1 04:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  125. P1 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
  126. P1 03:55
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  127. P1 03:29
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  128. P1 03:29
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  129. P1 03:00
    Giveaway by Michael Eyssimont in neutral zone
  130. P1 02:46
    Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Mitchell Chaffee in neutral zone
  131. P1 02:14
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
  132. P1 02:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  133. P1 00:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  134. P1 00:32
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
  135. P1 00:08
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  136. P1 00:08
    Stoppage - Icing
Stats
Bruins
STATS
Lightning
22Shots on Goal23
69% Faceoff Win % 31%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins8
11Hits20
14 Shots Blocked 13
15Giveaways12
BruinsBOS
LightningTB
22Shots on Goal23
69% Faceoff Win % 31%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins8
11Hits20
14 Shots Blocked 13
15Giveaways12

Bruins vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bruins vs. Lightning
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bruins 39¢, Lightning 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bruins: 39%
  • Lightning: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bruins a win probability of 39%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bruins vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.