Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Stars NHL game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
5
4
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123OTT
Avalanche
2 1 1 0 5
Stars
3 1 0 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Avalanche
    100%
  • Stars
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Avalanche
2 1 1 0 5
Stars
3 1 0 0 4
OT1 04:54 Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Harley
OT1 04:44 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
OT1 03:31 Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 03:12 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Brock Nelson
OT1 02:49 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Scott Wedgewood
OT1 01:33 Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 19:46 Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Martin Necas and Brock Nelson
P3 19:22 Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 17:08 Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 16:02 Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 15:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:37 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Thomas Harley
P3 13:57 Devon Toews shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 09:47 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Oskar Back
P3 09:40 Shot missed by Sam Malinski
P3 07:21 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 07:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 03:54 Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Parker Kelly
P3 03:29 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 02:43 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Martin Necas on Jake Oettinger
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
  5. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin on Jake Oettinger
  6. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  7. OT1 04:54
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  8. OT1 04:46
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  9. OT1 04:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  10. OT1 04:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
  11. OT1 04:31
    Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  12. OT1 03:34
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  13. OT1 03:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  14. OT1 03:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
  15. OT1 03:12
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  16. OT1 02:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Scott Wedgewood
  17. OT1 01:35
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  18. OT1 01:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jake Oettinger
  19. OT1 00:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  20. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  21. P3 19:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Martin Necas and Brock Nelson
    4-4
  22. P3 19:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  23. P3 19:10
    Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  24. P3 17:57
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in offensive zone
  25. P3 17:26
    Ross Colton credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  26. P3 17:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jake Oettinger
  27. P3 16:48
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  28. P3 16:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 16:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  30. P3 15:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jake Oettinger
  31. P3 15:13
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
  32. P3 14:40
    Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in offensive zone
  33. P3 14:37
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  34. P3 13:57
    SHOT
    Devon Toews shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  35. P3 11:46
    Ross Colton credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  36. P3 11:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  37. P3 10:48
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  38. P3 10:29
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  39. P3 09:47
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Oskar Back
  40. P3 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Malinski
  41. P3 08:04
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  42. P3 08:04
    Stoppage - Offside
  43. P3 07:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  44. P3 07:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
  45. P3 06:56
    Penalty to Ross Colton 2 minutes for Misconduct
  46. P3 06:22
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  47. P3 06:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  48. P3 05:20
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  49. P3 05:20
    Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Justin Hryckowian)
  50. P3 03:54
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Parker Kelly
  51. P3 03:52
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  52. P3 03:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jake Oettinger
  53. P3 02:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
  54. P3 02:28
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  55. P3 02:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  56. P3 01:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Scott Wedgewood
  57. P3 01:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Brent Burns
  58. P3 00:58
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  59. P3 00:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  60. P3 00:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
  61. P3 00:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
  62. P3 00:00
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  63. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  64. P2 19:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Cale Makar
  65. P2 19:43
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  66. P2 19:11
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  67. P2 19:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  68. P2 17:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
  69. P2 17:40
    Gavin Brindley won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  70. P2 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  71. P2 16:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Scott Wedgewood
  72. P2 15:38
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  73. P2 15:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  74. P2 13:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  75. P2 13:36
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
  76. P2 12:52
    Takeaway by Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  77. P2 12:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  78. P2 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
  79. P2 11:44
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  80. P2 10:54
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  81. P2 09:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Avalanche
  82. P2 08:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by teammate
  83. P2 08:11
    Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  84. P2 08:11
    Penalty to Sam Steel 2 minutes for Misconduct
  85. P2 08:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  86. P2 07:11
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
  87. P2 07:05
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  88. P2 07:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  89. P2 06:45
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  90. P2 06:43
    SHOT
    Gabriel Landeskog shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  91. P2 05:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Steel
  92. P2 04:46
    SHOT
    Ross Colton shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  93. P2 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Scott Wedgewood
  94. P2 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Scott Wedgewood
  95. P2 03:25
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  96. P2 03:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  97. P2 03:04
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in offensive zone
  98. P2 02:19
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Oskar Back in defensive zone
  99. P2 02:16
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Gavin Brindley
  100. P2 02:14
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  101. P2 02:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
  102. P2 02:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Scott Wedgewood
  103. P2 01:52
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  104. P2 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
  105. P2 00:29
    Gabriel Landeskog credited with hit on Esa Lindell in offensive zone
  106. P2 00:26
    Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
  107. P2 00:00
    Avalanche won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
  108. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  109. P1 19:58
    Power play - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  110. P1 19:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  111. P1 19:46
    Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  112. P1 19:38
    Roope Hintz credited with hit on Sam Malinski in offensive zone
  113. P1 18:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
  114. P1 18:31
    Power play - Ross Colton won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  115. P1 18:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  116. P1 17:17
    Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  117. P1 17:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
  118. P1 16:48
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  119. P1 16:48
    Penalty to Justin Hryckowian 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Cale Makar)
  120. P1 15:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Jake Oettinger
  121. P1 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
  122. P1 15:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  123. P1 14:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Lyubushkin
  124. P1 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  125. P1 14:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  126. P1 14:00
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  127. P1 13:40
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  128. P1 13:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  129. P1 13:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  130. P1 12:51
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Jason Robertson
  131. P1 12:48
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  132. P1 12:47
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Roope Hintz
  133. P1 11:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
  134. P1 10:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  135. P1 10:39
    Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in defensive zone
  136. P1 10:39
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
    1-2
  137. P1 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Avalanche
  138. P1 08:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jake Oettinger
  139. P1 07:11
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  140. P1 06:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  141. P1 06:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  142. P1 06:05
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  143. P1 05:56
    Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  144. P1 05:56
    Penalty to Jack Drury 2 minutes for Holding
  145. P1 05:40
    Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  146. P1 03:41
    Sam Steel credited with hit on Brent Burns in offensive zone
  147. P1 03:33
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  148. P1 02:42
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Sam Steel in defensive zone
  149. P1 02:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
  150. P1 02:28
    Shorthanded - Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  151. P1 01:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Jake Oettinger
  152. P1 01:14
    Giveaway by Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  153. P1 00:13
    Wyatt Johnston credited with hit on Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  154. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Stars
29Shots on Goal21
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
24Hits19
11 Shots Blocked 17
16Giveaways14
AvalancheCOL
StarsDAL
29Shots on Goal21
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
24Hits19
11 Shots Blocked 17
16Giveaways14

Avalanche vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Avalanche vs. Stars
  • Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -120, Stars +106

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Avalanche: 52%
  • Stars: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 52%, while the Stars have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Avalanche vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.