Sharks vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sharks vs. Lightning NHL game on January 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Sharks
1
4
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Sharks
1 0 0 1
Lightning
1 2 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sharks
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sharks
1 0 0 1
Lightning
1 2 1 4
P3 18:35 Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P3 18:03 Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
P3 17:41 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
P3 16:57 Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 15:31 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
P3 14:39 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 14:16 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
P3 14:14 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P3 14:05 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P3 13:54 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Barclay Goodrow
P3 13:50 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 13:35 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 12:48 Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P3 12:42 Shot on goal by Ryan Reaves saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:36 Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:19 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Macklin Celebrini
P3 09:44 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 08:58 Shot missed by Declan Carlile
P3 08:50 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 07:08 Shot on goal by Mario Ferraro saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:00
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  3. P3 18:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  4. P3 18:03
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
  5. P3 17:41
    Sharks won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:41
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
    1-4
  7. P3 16:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  8. P3 16:43
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  9. P3 16:13
    Sharks won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  10. P3 16:13
    Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
  11. P3 15:42
    Zack Ostapchuk credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  12. P3 15:31
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
  13. P3 15:13
    Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  14. P3 14:57
    Collin Graf credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  15. P3 14:49
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  16. P3 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  17. P3 14:24
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Michael Misa in offensive zone
  18. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
  19. P3 14:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  20. P3 14:07
    Sharks won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  21. P3 14:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  22. P3 13:54
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Barclay Goodrow
  23. P3 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  24. P3 13:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  25. P3 12:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
  26. P3 12:47
    Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  27. P3 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Reaves saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  28. P3 12:40
    Takeaway by Ryan Reaves in defensive zone
  29. P3 11:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  30. P3 11:23
    Tyler Toffoli credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  31. P3 11:19
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Macklin Celebrini
  32. P3 10:42
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  33. P3 09:47
    Giveaway by Nick Paul in offensive zone
  34. P3 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  35. P3 09:01
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  36. P3 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  37. P3 08:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  38. P3 07:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mario Ferraro saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  39. P3 06:58
    Sharks won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  40. P3 05:59
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  41. P3 05:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  42. P3 04:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Dickinson
  43. P3 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  44. P3 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Klingberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  45. P3 03:34
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  46. P3 03:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  47. P3 02:22
    Takeaway by Pavol Regenda in offensive zone
  48. P3 01:20
    Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  49. P3 00:56
    Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
  50. P3 00:31
    Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
  51. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  52. P2 19:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  53. P2 19:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  54. P2 18:56
    SHOT
    Collin Graf shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  55. P2 18:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  56. P2 18:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  57. P2 17:24
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by William Eklund
  58. P2 16:43
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  59. P2 16:43
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  60. P2 13:28
    Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  61. P2 13:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Klingberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  62. P2 13:23
    Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  63. P2 13:15
    Power play - Takeaway by William Eklund in offensive zone
  64. P2 13:07
    SHOT
    Power play - John Klingberg shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  65. P2 12:57
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  66. P2 12:41
    Tyler Toffoli credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  67. P2 12:38
    Declan Carlile credited with hit on Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
  68. P2 11:43
    Sharks won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  69. P2 11:16
    Takeaway by Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  70. P2 10:52
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  71. P2 10:34
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  72. P2 10:34
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 10:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  74. P2 09:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  75. P2 09:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  76. P2 09:32
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  77. P2 09:25
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  78. P2 09:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Barclay Goodrow
  80. P2 07:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
  81. P2 07:11
    Shorthanded - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
  82. P2 06:51
    Penalty to Ryan Reaves 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Declan Carlile)
  83. P2 06:51
    Sharks won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  84. P2 06:10
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  85. P2 06:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  86. P2 04:57
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  87. P2 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  88. P2 03:17
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  89. P2 03:17
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Dominic James and Gage Goncalves
    1-3
  90. P2 03:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  91. P2 01:49
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
  92. P2 01:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Declan Carlile
    1-2
  93. P2 01:39
    Michael Misa won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  94. P2 01:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  95. P2 00:49
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  96. P2 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  97. P2 00:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  98. P2 00:33
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  99. P2 00:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  100. P2 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
  101. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  102. P1 17:43
    Barclay Goodrow credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  103. P1 17:04
    Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  104. P1 16:54
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Collin Graf in neutral zone
  105. P1 16:49
    Giveaway by John Klingberg in defensive zone
  106. P1 16:21
    Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
  107. P1 16:10
    Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  108. P1 15:10
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
    1-1
  109. P1 15:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  110. P1 14:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sharks saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  111. P1 14:30
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  112. P1 14:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  113. P1 14:15
    Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in neutral zone
  114. P1 13:44
    Takeaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
  115. P1 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Smith saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  116. P1 13:13
    SHOT
    Will Smith shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  117. P1 13:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  118. P1 12:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dmitry Orlov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  119. P1 11:45
    Michael Misa won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  120. P1 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  121. P1 11:22
    Sharks won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  122. P1 11:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  123. P1 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  124. P1 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Wennberg
  125. P1 10:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  126. P1 10:17
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  127. P1 10:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  128. P1 10:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  129. P1 09:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  130. P1 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  131. P1 07:25
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  132. P1 06:17
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Zack Ostapchuk
  133. P1 05:54
    SHOT
    John Klingberg shot blocked by teammate
  134. P1 05:50
    SHOT
    Dmitry Orlov shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  135. P1 04:38
    Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
  136. P1 04:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  137. P1 04:01
    Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
  138. P1 03:04
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg
  139. P1 02:29
    Ryan Reaves credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
  140. P1 01:30
    Tyler Toffoli credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
  141. P1 01:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  142. P1 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  143. P1 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Collin Graf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  144. P1 00:52
    Giveaway by Will Smith in neutral zone
  145. P1 00:46
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  146. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Sharks
STATS
Lightning
23Shots on Goal20
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
29Hits13
18 Shots Blocked 14
13Giveaways18
SharksSJ
LightningTB
23Shots on Goal20
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
29Hits13
18 Shots Blocked 14
13Giveaways18

Sharks vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sharks vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Sharks +260, Lightning -300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sharks: 29%
  • Lightning: 71%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sharks a win probability of 29%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sharks vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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