Sharks vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Sharks
- Maple Leafs
- Macklin Celebrini40.9%
- Will Smith29.1%
- Igor Chernyshov23.9%
- Kiefer Sherwood
- Mason Marchment
- Auston Matthews42.8%
- William Nylander42.6%
- Kirill Marchenko32.6%
- Jack Roslovic
- Darren Raddysh
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Monday
- Teams: San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, October 19, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:30PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Sharks (+1.5, -194), Maple Leafs (-1.5, +186)
- Moneyline: Sharks +127, Maple Leafs -133
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-120/+117)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Sharks: 43.4%
- Maple Leafs: 56.5%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Macklin Celebrini, Sharks: 40.4%
- Will Smith, Sharks: 29.2%
- Auston Matthews, Maple Leafs: 43.0%
- William Nylander, Maple Leafs: 41.9%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sharks a win probability of 43.4%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 56.5%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Monday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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