Avalanche vs. Flyers prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [10/19/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Flyers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 63.9% chance of beating the Flyers. According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 58.5% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 57.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+113) / Flyers +1.5 (-117)
• Moneyline: Avalanche -223, Flyers +217
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+122/-127)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Flyers +1.5 @ 54¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Flyers @ 32¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 6.5 @ 56¢ via Novig

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Avalanche vs. Flyers player props

Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Flyers?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Flyers.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 42.4% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is a 9.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 42.4% probability
• Martin Necas: 34.7% probability
• Brock Nelson: 30.5% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 29.5% probability
• Cale Makar: 23.1% probability

Philadelphia Flyers

• Tyson Foerster: 25.7% probability
• Porter Martone: 23.8% probability
• Trevor Zegras: 23.6% probability
• Matvei Michkov: 22.5% probability
• Oliver Bonk: 20.9% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 9.4% probability
• Martin Necas: 7.2% probability
• Brock Nelson: 6.3% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 6.1% probability
• Cale Makar: 4.6% probability

Philadelphia Flyers

• Tyson Foerster: 5.1% probability
• Porter Martone: 4.6% probability
• Matvei Michkov: 4.4% probability
• Trevor Zegras: 4.3% probability
• Oliver Bonk: 4.0% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Monday's action between the Flyers and Avalanche at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Philadelphia Flyers
• Date: Monday, October 19, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 63.9% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Monday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.