Cowboys vs. Texans: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Cowboys vs. Texans prediction for Sunday, October 4, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
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NFL sport icon
NFL
Cowboys
Predicted score
23
:
25
Reliant Stadium
Texans
Reliant Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Cowboys +3.0
Spread
  • Cowboys
    54.7%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Texans
    45.3%
    CaesarsCaesars

Cowboys vs. Texans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 4

  • Teams: Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans
  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Time: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Reliant Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cowboys (+3, -120), Texans (-3, -110)
  • Moneyline: Cowboys +130, Texans -135
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points (-115/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cowboys: 41.2%
  • Texans: 58.8%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Cowboys 22-25 Texans.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Cowboys a win probability of 41.2%, while the Texans have a win probability of 58.8%.

Summary

The Cowboys face off against the Texans in the NFL at Reliant Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026.

Our Cowboys vs. Texans predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.